PITCHER MATCHUP
Martín Pérez vs New York Mets
How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Martín Pérez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Martín Pérez's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .339Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 34%Changeup 29%Cutter 23%Curveball 9%Four-Seam Fastball 5%
How the New York Mets's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Martín Pérez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .324
-
1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 CB Carson Benge LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
5 BB Brett Baty LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 608 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
7 JS Juan Soto LHB .377
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .455 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 JY Jared Young LHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.