PITCHER MATCHUP

Martín Pérez vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Martín Pérez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Martín Pérez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .338Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 34%Changeup 29%Cutter 23%Curveball 9%Four-Seam Fastball 5%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Martín Pérez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .226 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.