PITCHER MATCHUP

Martín Pérez vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Martín Pérez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Martín Pérez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .338vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 34%Changeup 30%Cutter 23%Curveball 9%Four-Seam Fastball 4%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Martín Pérez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.