PITCHER MATCHUP

Martín Pérez vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Martín Pérez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Martín Pérez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .341Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 34%Changeup 29%Cutter 24%Curveball 9%Four-Seam Fastball 5%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Martín Pérez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 BJ Blaze Jordan RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Jordan
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.