PITCHER MATCHUP

Martín Pérez vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Martín Pérez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Martín Pérez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .344Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 32%Changeup 29%Cutter 24%Curveball 10%Four-Seam Fastball 5%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Martín Pérez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 WC William Contreras RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BT Brice Turang LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 SF Sal Frelick LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DH David Hamilton LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CY Christian Yelich LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC Jackson Chourio RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-19 game page →