PITCHER MATCHUP

Martín Pérez vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Martín Pérez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Martín Pérez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .338vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 34%Changeup 30%Cutter 23%Curveball 9%Four-Seam Fastball 4%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Martín Pérez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CY Christian Yelich LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DH David Hamilton LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.