PITCHER MATCHUP

Martín Pérez vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Martín Pérez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Martín Pérez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .338Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 34%Changeup 29%Cutter 23%Curveball 9%Four-Seam Fastball 5%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Martín Pérez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 576 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DH David Hamilton LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.