PITCHER MATCHUP

MacKenzie Gore vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against MacKenzie Gore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

MacKenzie Gore's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Curveball 21%Changeup 12%Slider 9%Cutter 7%Sinker 3%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against MacKenzie Gore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BB Byron Buxton RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.