PITCHER MATCHUP

MacKenzie Gore vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against MacKenzie Gore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

MacKenzie Gore's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .325vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Curveball 23%Changeup 10%Slider 9%Cutter 7%Sinker 2%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against MacKenzie Gore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BB Byron Buxton RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KC Kody Clemens SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AM Austin Martin RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RL Royce Lewis RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.