PITCHER MATCHUP

MacKenzie Gore vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against MacKenzie Gore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

MacKenzie Gore's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Curveball 21%Changeup 11%Slider 9%Cutter 7%Sinker 3%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against MacKenzie Gore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.