PITCHER MATCHUP

MacKenzie Gore vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against MacKenzie Gore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

MacKenzie Gore's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Curveball 21%Changeup 12%Slider 9%Cutter 7%Sinker 3%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against MacKenzie Gore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .260
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.