PITCHER MATCHUP

MacKenzie Gore vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against MacKenzie Gore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

MacKenzie Gore's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Curveball 21%Changeup 11%Slider 9%Cutter 7%Sinker 3%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against MacKenzie Gore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .332
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .395
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .441 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MV Mark Vientos RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-22 game page →