PITCHER MATCHUP

MacKenzie Gore vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against MacKenzie Gore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

MacKenzie Gore's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Curveball 21%Changeup 11%Slider 9%Cutter 7%Sinker 3%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against MacKenzie Gore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .330
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 565 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 552 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 620 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.