PITCHER MATCHUP

MacKenzie Gore vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against MacKenzie Gore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

MacKenzie Gore's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Curveball 21%Changeup 11%Slider 9%Cutter 7%Sinker 3%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against MacKenzie Gore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 634 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 586 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KM Ketel Marte SH .364
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.