PITCHER MATCHUP
MacKenzie Gore vs Arizona Diamondbacks
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against MacKenzie Gore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
MacKenzie Gore's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Curveball 21%Changeup 12%Slider 9%Cutter 7%Sinker 3%
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against MacKenzie Gore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .323
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1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .341
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 658 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KM Ketel Marte SH .361
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.