PITCHER MATCHUP

MacKenzie Gore vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against MacKenzie Gore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

MacKenzie Gore's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .326vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Curveball 22%Changeup 10%Slider 9%Cutter 8%Sinker 2%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against MacKenzie Gore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 AR Austin Riley RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MH Michael Harris II LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DS Dominic Smith LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Jorge Mateo RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Mateo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-18 game page →