PITCHER MATCHUP

MacKenzie Gore vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against MacKenzie Gore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

MacKenzie Gore's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Curveball 21%Changeup 12%Slider 9%Cutter 7%Sinker 3%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against MacKenzie Gore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Lane Thomas RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.