PITCHER MATCHUP

MacKenzie Gore vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against MacKenzie Gore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

MacKenzie Gore's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .325vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Curveball 21%Changeup 11%Slider 10%Cutter 7%Sinker 2%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against MacKenzie Gore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 637 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.