PITCHER MATCHUP

MacKenzie Gore vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against MacKenzie Gore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

MacKenzie Gore's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .328vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Curveball 22%Changeup 11%Slider 9%Cutter 8%Sinker 2%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against MacKenzie Gore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .373
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 395 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MS Myles Straw RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.