PITCHER MATCHUP

MacKenzie Gore vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against MacKenzie Gore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

MacKenzie Gore's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .330vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Curveball 22%Changeup 10%Slider 9%Cutter 8%Sinker 2%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against MacKenzie Gore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .373
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-25 game page →