PITCHER MATCHUP

MacKenzie Gore vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against MacKenzie Gore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

MacKenzie Gore's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Curveball 21%Changeup 11%Slider 9%Cutter 7%Sinker 3%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against MacKenzie Gore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .373
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.