PITCHER MATCHUP

Luis Castillo vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luis Castillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luis Castillo's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .344vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 23%Sinker 20%Changeup 13%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luis Castillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 BB Byron Buxton RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.