PITCHER MATCHUP

Luis Castillo vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luis Castillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luis Castillo's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .347vs RHH xwOBA .291Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Slider 22%Sinker 20%Changeup 12%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luis Castillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW James Wood LHB .381
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .432 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 CM Curtis Mead RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.