PITCHER MATCHUP

Luis Castillo vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luis Castillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luis Castillo's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .344vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 23%Sinker 20%Changeup 13%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luis Castillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .383
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .442 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JY Jacob Young RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 DC Dylan Crews RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 BH Brady House RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT José Tena LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Tena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.