PITCHER MATCHUP

Luis Castillo vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luis Castillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luis Castillo's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 23%Sinker 19%Changeup 12%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luis Castillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 JW James Wood LHB .383
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .442 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DL Daylen Lile LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JY Jacob Young RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DC Dylan Crews RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.