PITCHER MATCHUP

Luis Castillo vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luis Castillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luis Castillo's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 23%Sinker 20%Changeup 13%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luis Castillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 580 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JY Jared Young LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Luis Torrens RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-22 game page →