PITCHER MATCHUP

Luis Castillo vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luis Castillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luis Castillo's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .344vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 23%Sinker 20%Changeup 13%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luis Castillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .400
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .434 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.