PITCHER MATCHUP

Luis Castillo vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luis Castillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luis Castillo's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .344vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 23%Sinker 20%Changeup 13%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luis Castillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 669 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 AM Angel Martínez SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 593 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.