PITCHER MATCHUP

Luis Castillo vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luis Castillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luis Castillo's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .291Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Slider 22%Sinker 20%Changeup 12%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luis Castillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .302
  1. 1 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 554 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KM Kyle Manzardo LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Manzardo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 DS Daniel Schneemann LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daniel Schneemann
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 RH Rhys Hoskins RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rhys Hoskins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 PB Patrick Bailey SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DF David Fry SH .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Fry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AH Austin Hedges RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Hedges
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-26 game page →