PITCHER MATCHUP

Luis Castillo vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luis Castillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luis Castillo's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .344vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 23%Sinker 20%Changeup 13%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luis Castillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Angel Martínez SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KM Kyle Manzardo LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Manzardo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.