PITCHER MATCHUP

Luis Castillo vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luis Castillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luis Castillo's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 23%Sinker 19%Changeup 12%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luis Castillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SK Steven Kwan LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 600 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Angel Martínez SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RH Rhys Hoskins RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rhys Hoskins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.