PITCHER MATCHUP

Luis Castillo vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luis Castillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luis Castillo's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 23%Sinker 19%Changeup 12%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luis Castillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 AP Andy Pages RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DR Dalton Rushing LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dalton Rushing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AF Alex Freeland SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-28 game page →