PITCHER MATCHUP

Luis Castillo vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luis Castillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luis Castillo's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .343vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 23%Sinker 20%Changeup 13%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luis Castillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 619 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Max Muncy LHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Mookie Betts RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TE Tommy Edman SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 AF Alex Freeland SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 HF Hunter Feduccia LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Feduccia
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.