PITCHER MATCHUP

Luis Castillo vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luis Castillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luis Castillo's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 23%Sinker 19%Changeup 12%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luis Castillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 GS George Springer RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.