PITCHER MATCHUP

Luis Castillo vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luis Castillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luis Castillo's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .344vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 23%Sinker 20%Changeup 13%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luis Castillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.