PITCHER MATCHUP

Luinder Avila vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luinder Avila's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luinder Avila's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .298vs RHH xwOBA .307Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 25%Slider 24%Curveball 15%Changeup 8%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luinder Avila, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LA Luisangel Acuña RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luisangel Acuña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DR Drew Romo SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Romo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-28 game page →