PITCHER MATCHUP
Luinder Avila vs Chicago White Sox
How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luinder Avila's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Luinder Avila's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .341Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 26%Slider 22%Curveball 16%Changeup 9%
How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luinder Avila, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .314
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1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 EQ Edgar Quero SH .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edgar Quero
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.