PITCHER MATCHUP

Luinder Avila vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luinder Avila's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luinder Avila's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .341Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 26%Slider 22%Curveball 16%Changeup 9%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luinder Avila, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.