PITCHER MATCHUP

Luinder Avila vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luinder Avila's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luinder Avila's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .341Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 26%Slider 22%Curveball 16%Changeup 9%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luinder Avila, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.