PITCHER MATCHUP

Luinder Avila vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luinder Avila's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luinder Avila's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .341Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 26%Slider 22%Curveball 16%Changeup 9%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luinder Avila, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.