PITCHER MATCHUP

Luinder Avila vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luinder Avila's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luinder Avila's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .341Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 26%Slider 22%Curveball 16%Changeup 9%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luinder Avila, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KK Kyle Karros RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.