PITCHER MATCHUP

Luinder Avila vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luinder Avila's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luinder Avila's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .305vs RHH xwOBA .344Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 26%Slider 22%Curveball 16%Changeup 9%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luinder Avila, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-01 game page →