PITCHER MATCHUP

Luinder Avila vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luinder Avila's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luinder Avila's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .310vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Sinker 26%Slider 25%Curveball 14%Changeup 8%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luinder Avila, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 395 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NF Nick Fortes RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BW Ben Williamson RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-23 game page →