PITCHER MATCHUP

Luinder Avila vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luinder Avila's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luinder Avila's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .341Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 26%Slider 22%Curveball 16%Changeup 9%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luinder Avila, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .303
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .269
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .227 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.