PITCHER MATCHUP

Luinder Avila vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luinder Avila's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luinder Avila's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .341Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 26%Slider 22%Curveball 16%Changeup 9%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luinder Avila, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .273
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BW Ben Williamson RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.