PITCHER MATCHUP

Luinder Avila vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luinder Avila's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luinder Avila's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .341Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 26%Slider 22%Curveball 16%Changeup 9%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luinder Avila, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Junior Caminero RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .271
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .228 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.