PITCHER MATCHUP

Luinder Avila vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luinder Avila's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luinder Avila's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .341Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 26%Slider 22%Curveball 16%Changeup 9%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luinder Avila, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .436 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AB Alec Bohm RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BS Bryson Stott LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 582 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.