PITCHER MATCHUP

Luinder Avila vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luinder Avila's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luinder Avila's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .341Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 26%Slider 22%Curveball 16%Changeup 9%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luinder Avila, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 669 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 570 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .438 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BH Bryce Harper LHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.