PITCHER MATCHUP

Luinder Avila vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luinder Avila's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luinder Avila's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 26%Slider 23%Curveball 15%Changeup 9%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luinder Avila, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .327
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .437 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-05 game page →