PITCHER MATCHUP

Luinder Avila vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luinder Avila's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luinder Avila's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .341Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 26%Slider 22%Curveball 16%Changeup 9%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luinder Avila, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.