PITCHER MATCHUP

Luinder Avila vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luinder Avila's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luinder Avila's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .341Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 26%Slider 22%Curveball 16%Changeup 9%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luinder Avila, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 543 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.