PITCHER MATCHUP

Luinder Avila vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luinder Avila's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luinder Avila's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 27%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Slider 25%Curveball 15%Changeup 8%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luinder Avila, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW James Wood LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 CM Curtis Mead RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-17 game page →