PITCHER MATCHUP

Luinder Avila vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luinder Avila's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luinder Avila's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .341Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 26%Slider 22%Curveball 16%Changeup 9%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luinder Avila, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .429 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.