PITCHER MATCHUP

Luinder Avila vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Luinder Avila's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Luinder Avila's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .305vs RHH xwOBA .344Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 26%Slider 22%Curveball 16%Changeup 9%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Luinder Avila, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 573 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 WA Willy Adames RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 580 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CS Casey Schmitt RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Casey Schmitt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 DS Daniel Susac RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daniel Susac
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-21 game page →