PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Webb vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Webb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Webb's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .311vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 33%Changeup 25%Sweeper 23%Four-Seam Fastball 10%Cutter 9%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Webb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 MV Matt Vierling RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.