PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Webb vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Webb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Webb's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .293Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 33%Changeup 25%Sweeper 23%Cutter 9%Four-Seam Fastball 9%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Webb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JO James Outman LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Outman
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .216 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-09 game page →