PITCHER MATCHUP
Logan Webb vs Detroit Tigers
How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Webb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Logan Webb's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .311vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 33%Changeup 25%Sweeper 23%Four-Seam Fastball 10%Cutter 9%
How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Webb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .311
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1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 RG Riley Greene LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 CK Colt Keith LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 JB Javier Báez SH .283
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.