PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Webb vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Webb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Webb's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 33%Changeup 25%Sweeper 23%Four-Seam Fastball 9%Cutter 9%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Webb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .303
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .227 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-26 game page →