PITCHER MATCHUP
Logan Webb vs Cincinnati Reds
How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Webb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Logan Webb's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .311vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 33%Changeup 25%Sweeper 23%Four-Seam Fastball 10%Cutter 9%
How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Webb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .304
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1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MM Matt McLain RHB .289
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .229 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .290
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 DM Dane Myers RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .282
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.