PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Webb vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Webb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Webb's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 33%Changeup 25%Sweeper 23%Four-Seam Fastball 9%Cutter 9%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Webb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 615 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-21 game page →