PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Webb vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Webb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Webb's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 33%Changeup 25%Sweeper 24%Four-Seam Fastball 10%Cutter 9%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Webb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 547 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .431 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-01 game page →