PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Webb vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Webb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Webb's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .311vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 33%Changeup 25%Sweeper 23%Four-Seam Fastball 10%Cutter 9%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Webb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.