PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Webb vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Webb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Webb's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 33%Changeup 25%Sweeper 23%Four-Seam Fastball 10%Cutter 9%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Webb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LC Luis Campusano RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SS Sung-Mun Song LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sung-Mun Song
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-13 game page →