PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Webb vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Webb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Webb's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 35%Changeup 25%Sweeper 24%Four-Seam Fastball 8%Cutter 8%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Webb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .303
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .221 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 CN Connor Norby RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 OC Owen Caissie LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-21 game page →