PITCHER MATCHUP
Logan Webb vs Miami Marlins
How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Webb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Logan Webb's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .293Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 33%Changeup 25%Sweeper 23%Cutter 9%Four-Seam Fastball 9%
How the Miami Marlins's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Webb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .303
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1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .287
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 OC Owen Caissie LHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JM Joe Mack LHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
- Sinker (33% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.