PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Webb vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Webb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Webb's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .311vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 33%Changeup 25%Sweeper 23%Four-Seam Fastball 10%Cutter 9%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Webb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .217 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 OC Owen Caissie LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.