PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Webb vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Webb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Webb's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 34%Changeup 25%Sweeper 23%Four-Seam Fastball 9%Cutter 9%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Webb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CR Cal Raleigh SH .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 LR Luke Raley LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CE Colt Emerson LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MG Mitch Garver RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mitch Garver
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-18 game page →