PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Webb vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Webb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Webb's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 33%Changeup 25%Sweeper 23%Four-Seam Fastball 9%Cutter 9%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Webb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 CY Cole Young LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JN Josh Naylor LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 553 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 608 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 VR Victor Robles RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.