PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Webb vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Webb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Webb's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .293Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 33%Changeup 25%Sweeper 23%Cutter 9%Four-Seam Fastball 9%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Webb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 578 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.