PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Webb vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Webb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Webb's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 35%Changeup 25%Sweeper 24%Four-Seam Fastball 8%Cutter 8%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Webb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 AB Alex Bregman RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IH Ian Happ SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MB Michael Busch LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MB Moisés Ballesteros LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Moisés Ballesteros
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.