PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Webb vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Webb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Webb's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .311vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 33%Changeup 25%Sweeper 23%Four-Seam Fastball 10%Cutter 9%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Webb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 628 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.