PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Webb vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Webb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Webb's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .311vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 33%Changeup 25%Sweeper 23%Four-Seam Fastball 10%Cutter 9%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Webb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .300
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NC Nathan Church LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JF José Fermín RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .269
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VS Victor Scott II LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Scott II
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BT Bryan Torres LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Torres
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-07 game page →