PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Webb vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Webb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Webb's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 34%Changeup 26%Sweeper 24%Four-Seam Fastball 9%Cutter 8%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Webb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 573 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AR Austin Riley RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MH Michael Harris II LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DS Dominic Smith LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JM Jorge Mateo RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Mateo
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-27 game page →