PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Webb vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Webb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Webb's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .311vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 33%Changeup 25%Sweeper 23%Four-Seam Fastball 10%Cutter 9%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Webb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 670 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.