PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Webb vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Webb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Webb's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 34%Changeup 25%Sweeper 24%Four-Seam Fastball 9%Cutter 8%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Webb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 395 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 YP Yohendrick Piñango LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yohendrick Piñango
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-08 game page →