PITCHER MATCHUP
Logan Gilbert vs Minnesota Twins
How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Gilbert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Logan Gilbert's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .277vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Slider 30%Splitter 16%Curveball 9%Cutter 5%Changeup 3%Sinker 1%
How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Gilbert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .308
-
1 JB Josh Bell SH .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
2 BL Brooks Lee SH .285
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
3 KC Kody Clemens SH .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
5 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
7 VC Victor Caratini SH .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
8 AM Austin Martin RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-01 game page →