PITCHER MATCHUP
Logan Gilbert vs Minnesota Twins
How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Gilbert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Logan Gilbert's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 29%Splitter 16%Curveball 7%Cutter 4%Changeup 4%Sweeper 1%Sinker 1%
How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Gilbert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .313
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1 BL Brooks Lee SH .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 JB Josh Bell SH .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KC Kody Clemens SH .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 BB Byron Buxton RHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 VC Victor Caratini SH .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 AM Austin Martin RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.