PITCHER MATCHUP
Logan Gilbert vs Minnesota Twins
How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Gilbert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Logan Gilbert's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .279vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 29%Splitter 16%Curveball 7%Cutter 5%Changeup 4%Sweeper 1%Sinker 1%
How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Gilbert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .310
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1 BL Brooks Lee SH .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 JB Josh Bell SH .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 KC Kody Clemens SH .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 VC Victor Caratini SH .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 AM Austin Martin RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.