PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Gilbert vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Gilbert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Gilbert's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .278vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Slider 30%Splitter 16%Curveball 8%Cutter 5%Changeup 3%Sinker 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Gilbert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 598 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.