PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Gilbert vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Gilbert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Gilbert's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .293Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 29%Splitter 16%Curveball 7%Cutter 4%Changeup 4%Sweeper 1%Sinker 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Gilbert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 641 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Adley Rutschman SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TS Trevor Story RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 NS Nick Sogard SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Sogard
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.