PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Gilbert vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Gilbert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Gilbert's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 29%Splitter 16%Curveball 7%Cutter 4%Changeup 4%Sweeper 1%Sinker 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Gilbert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .272
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .260
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.