PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Gilbert vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Gilbert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Gilbert's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .279vs RHH xwOBA .289Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Slider 30%Splitter 16%Curveball 9%Cutter 5%Changeup 3%Sinker 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Gilbert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .272
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .268
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 NF Nick Fortes RHB .272
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BW Ben Williamson RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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