PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Gilbert vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Gilbert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Gilbert's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Slider 30%Splitter 16%Curveball 8%Cutter 5%Changeup 4%Sinker 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Gilbert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .269
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .264
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.