PITCHER MATCHUP
Logan Gilbert vs Baltimore Orioles
How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Gilbert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Logan Gilbert's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 29%Splitter 16%Curveball 7%Cutter 4%Changeup 4%Sweeper 1%Sinker 1%
How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Gilbert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .314
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1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .356
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 LT Leody Taveras SH .283
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.