PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Gilbert vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Gilbert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Gilbert's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .277vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Slider 30%Splitter 16%Curveball 9%Cutter 5%Changeup 3%Sinker 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Gilbert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 LT Leody Taveras SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CM Coby Mayo RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.