PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Gilbert vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Gilbert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Gilbert's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .286Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Slider 31%Splitter 17%Curveball 9%Cutter 6%Changeup 3%Sinker 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Gilbert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Adley Rutschman SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 LT Leody Taveras SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 CM Coby Mayo RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-16 game page →