PITCHER MATCHUP
Logan Gilbert vs Baltimore Orioles
How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Gilbert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Logan Gilbert's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .279vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 29%Splitter 16%Curveball 7%Cutter 5%Changeup 4%Sweeper 1%Sinker 1%
How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Gilbert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .313
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1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 556 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .354
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 LT Leody Taveras SH .286
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .290
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.