PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Gilbert vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Gilbert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Gilbert's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 29%Splitter 16%Curveball 7%Cutter 4%Changeup 4%Sweeper 1%Sinker 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Gilbert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.