PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Gilbert vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Gilbert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Gilbert's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .278vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Slider 30%Splitter 16%Curveball 8%Cutter 5%Changeup 4%Sinker 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Gilbert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 GS George Springer RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.