PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Gilbert vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Gilbert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Gilbert's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .282vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Slider 30%Splitter 16%Curveball 9%Cutter 5%Changeup 3%Sinker 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Gilbert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YP Yohendrick Piñango LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yohendrick Piñango
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MS Myles Straw RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-04 game page →