PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Gilbert vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Gilbert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Gilbert's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .293Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 29%Splitter 16%Curveball 7%Cutter 4%Changeup 4%Sweeper 1%Sinker 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Gilbert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .391
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .427 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .426 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-22 game page →