PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Allen vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Allen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Allen's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .284vs RHH xwOBA .342Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sweeper 22%Changeup 18%Sinker 14%Cutter 13%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Allen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-04 game page →