PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Allen vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Allen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Allen's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .284vs RHH xwOBA .342Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sweeper 22%Changeup 18%Sinker 14%Cutter 13%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Allen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 544 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.