PITCHER MATCHUP

Logan Allen vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Logan Allen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Logan Allen's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .278vs RHH xwOBA .347Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sweeper 23%Changeup 18%Sinker 14%Cutter 13%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Logan Allen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JM Jake Mangum SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-18 game page →