PITCHER MATCHUP

Landen Roupp vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Landen Roupp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Landen Roupp's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .287Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 37%Curveball 30%Changeup 19%Cutter 11%Four-Seam Fastball 4%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Landen Roupp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .219 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MV Matt Vierling RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.