PITCHER MATCHUP
Landen Roupp vs Pittsburgh Pirates
How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Landen Roupp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Landen Roupp's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .286Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 37%Curveball 30%Changeup 19%Cutter 11%Four-Seam Fastball 3%
How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Landen Roupp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .305
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1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
- Sinker (37% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (30% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 547 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
- Sinker (37% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (30% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
- Sinker (37% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (30% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JM Jake Mangum SH .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
- Sinker (37% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (30% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
- Sinker (37% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (30% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
- Sinker (37% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (30% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
- Sinker (37% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (30% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 HD Henry Davis RHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
- Sinker (37% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (30% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
- Sinker (37% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (30% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-02 game page →