PITCHER MATCHUP

Landen Roupp vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Landen Roupp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Landen Roupp's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .287Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 37%Curveball 30%Changeup 19%Cutter 11%Four-Seam Fastball 4%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Landen Roupp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.