PITCHER MATCHUP

Landen Roupp vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Landen Roupp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Landen Roupp's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .284Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 37%Curveball 30%Changeup 19%Cutter 11%Four-Seam Fastball 4%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Landen Roupp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 531 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LC Luis Campusano RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SS Sung-Mun Song LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sung-Mun Song
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ST Samad Taylor SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samad Taylor
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.