PITCHER MATCHUP

Landen Roupp vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Landen Roupp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Landen Roupp's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .318vs RHH xwOBA .280Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 38%Curveball 31%Changeup 18%Cutter 11%Four-Seam Fastball 3%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Landen Roupp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TF Ty France RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LR Luis Rengifo SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Rengifo
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-02 game page →