PITCHER MATCHUP

Landen Roupp vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Landen Roupp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Landen Roupp's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .287Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 37%Curveball 30%Changeup 19%Cutter 11%Four-Seam Fastball 4%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Landen Roupp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LC Luis Campusano RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.