PITCHER MATCHUP

Landen Roupp vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Landen Roupp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Landen Roupp's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .326vs RHH xwOBA .282Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 38%Curveball 32%Changeup 17%Cutter 10%Four-Seam Fastball 2%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Landen Roupp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (32% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .227 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (32% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (32% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (32% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (32% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CN Connor Norby RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (32% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .230 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 OC Owen Caissie LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (32% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (32% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (32% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-19 game page →