PITCHER MATCHUP

Landen Roupp vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Landen Roupp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Landen Roupp's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .318vs RHH xwOBA .280Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 38%Curveball 31%Changeup 18%Cutter 11%Four-Seam Fastball 3%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Landen Roupp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 OC Owen Caissie LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JM Joe Mack LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.