PITCHER MATCHUP

Landen Roupp vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Landen Roupp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Landen Roupp's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .319vs RHH xwOBA .282Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 38%Curveball 31%Changeup 18%Cutter 11%Four-Seam Fastball 3%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Landen Roupp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CR Cal Raleigh SH .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 LR Luke Raley LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .230 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CE Colt Emerson LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MG Mitch Garver RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mitch Garver
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-17 game page →