PITCHER MATCHUP

Landen Roupp vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Landen Roupp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Landen Roupp's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .325vs RHH xwOBA .282Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 37%Curveball 30%Changeup 19%Cutter 11%Four-Seam Fastball 3%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Landen Roupp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 CY Cole Young LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JN Josh Naylor LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 553 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 608 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 VR Victor Robles RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.