PITCHER MATCHUP

Landen Roupp vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Landen Roupp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Landen Roupp's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .284Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 37%Curveball 30%Changeup 19%Cutter 11%Four-Seam Fastball 4%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Landen Roupp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 572 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 552 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 611 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CK Carson Kelly RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MC Michael Conforto LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Tyrone Taylor RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyrone Taylor
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.