PITCHER MATCHUP

Landen Roupp vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Landen Roupp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Landen Roupp's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .287Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 37%Curveball 30%Changeup 19%Cutter 11%Four-Seam Fastball 4%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Landen Roupp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 628 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.