PITCHER MATCHUP

Landen Roupp vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Landen Roupp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Landen Roupp's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .318vs RHH xwOBA .280Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 38%Curveball 31%Changeup 18%Cutter 11%Four-Seam Fastball 3%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Landen Roupp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 543 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 575 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.