PITCHER MATCHUP

Landen Roupp vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Landen Roupp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Landen Roupp's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .326vs RHH xwOBA .282Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 38%Curveball 32%Changeup 17%Cutter 10%Four-Seam Fastball 2%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Landen Roupp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 AB Alex Bregman RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (32% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (32% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (32% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (32% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (32% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 531 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (32% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (32% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (32% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MB Moisés Ballesteros LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Moisés Ballesteros
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (32% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.